FC Lugano vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
5º
33
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LUG
3 - 2
SIO
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
WIN
2 - 3
LUG
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
15%
21%
63%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
GCZ
2 - 2
LAU
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SER
1 - 1
GCZ
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GCZ
0 - 0
YOB
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SIO
0 - 1
GCZ
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
GCZ
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |