FC Lugano vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
8º
2º
30
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STG
1 - 4
LUG
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 3
STA
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCP
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 0
SCH
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 4
GNK
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 0
GCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
THU
0 - 0
GCZ
34%
24%
43%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 1
GCZ
16%
20%
64%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 5
GCZ
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |