FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STG
2 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
YVE
1 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
LAU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
DEL
4 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |