FC Lugano vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
SIO
0 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
GCZ
1 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
LUG
0 - 3
LAU
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
YOB
1 - 3
LUG
60%
22%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCW
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
LAU
5 - 0
FCA
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
FCA
2 - 0
FCW
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
FCA
1 - 4
YOB
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |