FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 0
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 1
LUG
40%
23%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCV
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
THU
1 - 0
LUG
39%
24%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 1
LAU
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
MUN
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
MUN
0 - 1
CHI
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 4
CHI
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |