FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
LAU
1 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
YOB
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SIO
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 5
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
WOH
0 - 0
CHI
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 3
WIL
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
KRI
0 - 2
CHI
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |