FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 2
LUG
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 0
SER
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 2
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
THU
3 - 4
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 2
STG
57%
21%
22%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ZUR
4 - 2
BAS
30%
23%
47%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 1
BAS
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 3
SIO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |