Super League . Jor. 9

FC Lugano vs Basel analysis

FC Lugano Basel
72 ELO 83
-11.2% Tilt 9.1%
259º General ELO ranking 216º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.5%
FC Lugano
22.6%
Draw
59.9%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
FC Lugano
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.9%
Win probability
Basel
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

FC Lugano
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2020
SER
Servette
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
44%
26%
30%
72 74 2 0
07 Nov. 2020
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
47%
25%
28%
70 73 3 +2
24 Oct. 2020
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
27%
24%
49%
73 78 5 -3
17 Oct. 2020
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
34%
25%
41%
71 65 6 +2
03 Oct. 2020
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 2
Sion
SIO
46%
27%
27%
73 70 3 -2

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2020
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
63%
20%
17%
82 74 8 0
21 Nov. 2020
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Basel
BAS
51%
23%
26%
82 85 3 0
04 Nov. 2020
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Basel
BAS
21%
23%
57%
82 70 12 0
01 Nov. 2020
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 3
Basel
BAS
28%
24%
48%
83 76 7 -1
04 Oct. 2020
BAS
Basel
3 - 2
Luzern
FCL
76%
16%
8%
83 71 12 0
X