FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LAU
0 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 2
SIO
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 1
LAU
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
YOB
2 - 1
BAS
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
STG
1 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |