FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
YOB
3 - 2
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LUG
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
YOB
29%
24%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STA
6 - 0
BEL
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
THU
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 2
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |