FC Lugano vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 3
NEX
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
LUG
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
LUG
3 - 3
SER
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
LAU
4 - 0
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 0
DEL
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 1
BEL
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 3
LAU
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SER
0 - 3
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 0
DEL
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |