Lugano II vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
LUG
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LUZ
8 - 1
LUG
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 3
MEN
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 4
TUG
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GCB
0 - 3
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
YFJ
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
MEN
0 - 1
YFJ
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
YFJ
5 - 1
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
YFJ
3 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 1
YFJ
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |