Lugano II vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCS
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
3 - 4
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 2
ESC
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 2
LUG
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 1
PER
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PER
4 - 4
TAV
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 2
PER
71%
16%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |