Lugano II vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GOL
6 - 0
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 1
LUZ
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
20%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 0
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 1
PER
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
HER
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HAU
1 - 5
HER
5%
10%
86%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
ESC
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
ZOF
1 - 2
HER
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |