Lugano II vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 3
KRI
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
MEN
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 2
LUZ
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 2
LUG
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 0
YOU
45%
23%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 1
BAD
25%
22%
54%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
THU
10 - 0
BAD
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
WIN
4 - 1
BAD
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
BAD
2 - 2
NEX
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |