A PFG Normal Season Round 16

Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Ludogorets Cherno More Varna
78 ELO 74
2.9% Tilt 2.8%
769º General ELO ranking 796º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.1%
Ludogorets
23.7%
Draw
22.2%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.2%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets
+16%
-6%
Cherno More Varna

ELO progression

Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2020
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 3
LASK
LAS
35%
24%
42%
78 81 3 0
06 Dec. 2020
SSO
Slavia Sofia
0 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
34%
26%
40%
78 73 5 0
03 Dec. 2020
ANT
Antwerp
3 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
49%
25%
26%
78 82 4 0
29 Nov. 2020
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
65%
21%
15%
78 68 10 0
26 Nov. 2020
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
4 - 0
Ludogorets
LUD
80%
13%
7%
78 89 11 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2020
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 1
Etar 1924
ETA
68%
21%
12%
74 62 12 0
27 Nov. 2020
CVA
Cherno More Varna
3 - 2
Slavia Sofia
SSO
44%
27%
29%
74 73 1 0
22 Nov. 2020
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Botev Vratsa
BVR
50%
25%
24%
73 68 5 +1
07 Nov. 2020
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
0 - 0
Cherno More Varna
CVA
42%
27%
32%
73 71 2 0
30 Oct. 2020
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSK
46%
26%
27%
73 70 3 0