Luçon vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 3
LUC
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 1
LUC
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
BRE
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
LEM
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
LUC
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PON
3 - 0
CON
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PON
1 - 0
LES
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
PON
3 - 2
AVR
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEH
2 - 0
PON
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PON
0 - 3
SAI
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |