Luçon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
NAN
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 0
LPS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 2
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
ORL
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 2
AVR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAN
3 - 1
AVR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 2
ROM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
STA
0 - 2
AVR
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AVR
6 - 1
FON
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |