Luçon vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LAV
1 - 3
LUC
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
PON
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LES
1 - 2
LUC
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 0
FON
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 4
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 1
VCH
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 1
AVR
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 1
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 4
AVR
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAV
0 - 1
AVR
48%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |