Luco Canistro vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luco Canistro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAM
5 - 0
LUC
82%
13%
6%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
EPD
82%
13%
6%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
MAC
1 - 2
SIE
27%
22%
51%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
FAN
1 - 0
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
MAC
5 - 1
ASC
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +3 |