Lucky Mile vs Double Flower analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
ISK
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BIU
0 - 2
LUC
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MUT
5 - 0
LUC
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Double Flower
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DOU
2 - 1
SHA
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MUT
2 - 3
DOU
42%
23%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
4 - 0
FUK
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 3
DOU
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DOU
2 - 2
BIU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |