Lucky Mile vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SHS
1 - 0
LUC
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 5
YTS
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 4
LUC
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 3
HON
26%
22%
53%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
WAN
1 - 1
LUC
24%
21%
56%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HON
0 - 0
CAA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
5 - 3
WAN
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAA
3 - 1
KWA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WTP
2 - 1
CAA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
YTS
2 - 1
CAA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |