Lucksta vs Ytterhogdals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
13º
10º
44
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 1
TAF
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GIF
3 - 2
LUC
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 2
BOD
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
4 - 0
LUC
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LUC
0 - 6
NOR
3%
11%
86%
|
14 | 82 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Ytterhogdals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
YIK
4 - 1
GIF
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
YIK
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
YIK
2 - 1
UAK
82%
11%
6%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
YIK
47%
21%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
YIK
11 - 3
SAF
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |