Luckenwalde vs Hertha BSC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
11º
16º
13º
52
8º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 16 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 0
LUC
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
1 - 1
CZJ
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
BAK
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MEU
3 - 1
LUC
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
ALT
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHL
4 - 2
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 5
COT
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ERF
2 - 1
HER
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
GER
84%
11%
4%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |