Luckenwalde vs Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WAG
2 - 2
LUC
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 4
LUC
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
GRU
87%
10%
4%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 0
LUC
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 4
ZWI
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |