Lucchese Libertas vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PES
0 - 0
ASL
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 0
SIE
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ASG
0 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ASL
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
REG
2 - 0
ASL
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 2
PES
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 3
GRO
57%
24%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 2
MON
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 0
GRO
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PON
2 - 0
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |