Lucchese Libertas vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
VIS
2 - 1
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
MOD
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ANC
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
ASG
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ACD
1 - 0
PON
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
IMO
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PON
1 - 1
VIS
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PON
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |