Lucchese Libertas vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASL
70%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASL
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASL
1 - 1
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
LAZ
3 - 0
COS
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VER
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ACP
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |