Lucchese Libertas vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 2
ASL
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
ASL
1 - 0
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
ASL
3 - 1
TRI
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
VIC
1 - 3
ASL
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 2
INT
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
LAZ
0 - 4
JUV
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
LAZ
3 - 3
SAM
54%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
USA
2 - 2
LAZ
41%
23%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |