Lucchese Libertas vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
ASL
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
2 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACP
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
ASL
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
REN
2 - 1
GER
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GER
5 - 0
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PIS
0 - 0
GER
57%
26%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
GER
4 - 3
PIA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
OLB
3 - 0
GER
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -2 |