Lucchese Libertas vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 0
ACD
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
VIS
2 - 1
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
MOD
19%
27%
54%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
ASL
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
PES
15%
24%
62%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 0
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
41%
28%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
FER
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |