Lucchese Libertas vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASL
3 - 0
FOL
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASL
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 1
ASL
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2010 |
ASL
0 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
2 - 1
ASL
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 0
SPE
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
BV5
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 1
ASG
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VER
1 - 1
BV5
71%
20%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
BV5
4 - 1
FCS
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |