Luch Minsk vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luch Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BAT
4 - 1
LMI
75%
18%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
LMI
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LMI
1 - 1
SHA
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NEM
0 - 0
LMI
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
LMI
1 - 0
GOM
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SMO
0 - 2
SHA
10%
21%
69%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NEM
1 - 1
SMO
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
SMO
1 - 1
GOM
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FKG
4 - 1
SMO
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SMO
0 - 1
ISL
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |