Lucero-Linces vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATZ
1 - 5
LUL
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 3
YSB
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
0 - 1
LUL
59%
21%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 0
MBP
46%
20%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
LUL
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
MDE
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 1
UNI
69%
18%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRI
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 1
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
6 - 2
LUG
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |