Lucena vs Sevilla C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUC
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUC
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
SEV
79%
15%
7%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 1
UTR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEB
4 - 0
SEV
32%
26%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -3 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 0
MAI
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |