Lucena vs La Palma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUC
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
27%
27%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ALG
2 - 1
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
CDR
2 - 1
LUC
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
LAP
2 - 1
RAM
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
UTR
2 - 2
LAP
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
LAP
2 - 1
RAY
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
CCF
6 - 1
LAP
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LAP
0 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |