Lucena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AYA
1 - 1
LUC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
52%
26%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
LUC
4 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
BET
1 - 1
LUC
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 0
JER
54%
26%
21%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
JER
0 - 6
BAR
37%
27%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
JER
3 - 1
ARC
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
JER
63%
23%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
JER
2 - 2
MAI
52%
27%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 0
JER
54%
26%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |