Lucena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BET
1 - 1
LUC
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LUC
0 - 1
BOL
44%
27%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
LUC
3 - 2
POR
31%
29%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARC
35%
27%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
JER
1 - 1
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NUE
1 - 0
JER
28%
26%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
JER
2 - 0
DHE
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SOL
0 - 1
JER
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
SFE
41%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |