Lucena vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
GUA
26%
28%
45%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
ECI
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ECI
0 - 2
LOR
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
ALG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |