Lucena vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BET
0 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 2
CIU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
4 - 1
ECI
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
GRA
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 1
SEV
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
EST
0 - 4
GRA
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
GRA
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |