Lucena vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TAL
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRA
6 - 2
TAL
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 2
GRA
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
GRA
47%
27%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
GRA
4 - 2
MER
46%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |