Lucena vs Dos Hermanas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 2
LUC
26%
28%
46%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 3
POZ
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAL
41%
28%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
COR
0 - 2
LUC
28%
28%
43%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 0
BET
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dos Hermanas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
DHE
3 - 3
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CRD
0 - 0
DHE
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
DHE
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
DHE
1 - 2
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CAD
4 - 1
DHE
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |