Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUC
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
LUC
5 - 0
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ANT
0 - 1
LUC
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
POZ
1 - 0
LUC
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAL
44%
27%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
NUE
2 - 2
SFE
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SFE
3 - 2
DHE
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SOL
2 - 1
SFE
20%
26%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ARC
0 - 1
SFE
33%
27%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |