Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
LUC
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
POR
0 - 0
LUC
45%
28%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
46%
29%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 2
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LUC
2 - 1
CDR
53%
27%
20%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
SFE
1 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
SFE
2 - 4
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CRD
0 - 0
SFE
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SFE
3 - 0
CAC
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 0
SFE
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |