Lucena vs CD Linares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
56%
26%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
LUC
5 - 0
BET
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
POR
0 - 2
LUC
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 4
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAZ
1 - 0
LUC
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Linares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDL
4 - 1
TAL
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDL
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CDL
3 - 1
ALG
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 3
CDL
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CDL
3 - 0
MER
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |