Lucena vs Bollullos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 3
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAL
4 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
LUC
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bollullos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 0
VVA
40%
28%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SCF
0 - 0
BOL
26%
28%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 0
ANT
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
DHE
1 - 3
BOL
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 1
SFE
42%
28%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |