Lucena vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ATC
4 - 2
LUC
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
VVA
44%
28%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 2
LUC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOL
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
AYA
1 - 3
AGU
31%
27%
43%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
REC
1 - 3
AYA
60%
24%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AYA
0 - 1
SFE
30%
29%
41%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
DHE
4 - 0
AYA
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AYA
3 - 1
BAR
34%
28%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |