Lucena vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 4
LUC
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 3
CRD
55%
24%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 4
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
MON
0 - 0
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
VVA
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
AYA
1 - 0
MON
48%
27%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VVA
4 - 0
AYA
51%
26%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AYA
1 - 1
JER
33%
27%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
RLI
1 - 2
AYA
22%
26%
53%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
AYA
0 - 1
UDT
66%
21%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |