Lucena vs Antequera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
LUC
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 2
LUC
52%
27%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 3
PUE
35%
28%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
3 - 0
LUC
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
CDL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Antequera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ANT
3 - 2
PUE
29%
27%
43%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 0
ANT
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 1
SFE
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |