Lucena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
LUC
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
AGU
21%
27%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
1 - 2
TAL
30%
28%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 1
ALC
53%
26%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALG
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALC
0 - 1
BAZ
33%
28%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MER
0 - 1
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |