Lucena vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
LUC
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CSP
0 - 0
LUC
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAN
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
TRE
12%
19%
69%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
CAM
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAM
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 2
CRB
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 2
TRE
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |